MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
FCN
2 - 1
MSV
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
MSV
3 - 1
KAI
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1979 |
MSV
2 - 2
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
DAR
2 - 0
MSV
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
MSV
2 - 1
KOL
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
F95
3 - 1
BVB
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
HSV
2 - 1
F95
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
F95
3 - 1
BAN
71%
17%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
F95
2 - 2
EBT
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
F95
3 - 3
FCN
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |