MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
MON
4 - 1
MSV
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
MSV
1 - 2
F95
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
FCN
2 - 1
MSV
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
MSV
3 - 1
KAI
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1979 |
MSV
2 - 2
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
BAN
2 - 1
F95
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
MSV
1 - 2
F95
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
F95
3 - 1
BVB
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
HSV
2 - 1
F95
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
F95
3 - 1
BAN
71%
17%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |