MSV Duisburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
LUB
2 - 1
MSV
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
HER
1 - 0
MSV
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
MSV
3 - 1
MEP
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1996 |
MSV
5 - 1
LOK
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
MSV
4 - 0
HAN
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
FCN
1 - 2
M05
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
ARB
2 - 2
FCN
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
FCN
1 - 1
CHE
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1996 |
CZJ
1 - 0
FCN
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1996 |
FCN
2 - 2
UNT
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |