MSV Duisburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1980 |
MSV
2 - 2
KSC
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
MSV
9 - 0
WAB
82%
12%
6%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
RTV
1 - 1
MSV
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1980 |
MSV
1 - 0
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1980 |
HSV
0 - 0
MSV
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
FCN
0 - 2
RTV
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
SGF
1 - 1
FCN
28%
22%
50%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
MUN
2 - 4
FCN
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
FCN
2 - 3
HSV
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1980 |
STU
2 - 1
FCN
74%
15%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |