MSV Duisburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1967 |
EBT
2 - 3
MSV
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1967 |
ROT
0 - 1
MSV
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1966 |
MSV
0 - 1
KSC
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1966 |
MON
3 - 3
MSV
44%
25%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1966 |
HAN
3 - 0
MSV
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1967 |
FCN
3 - 3
STU
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1966 |
ALT
2 - 1
FCN
26%
24%
51%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1966 |
FCN
0 - 4
EBT
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1966 |
FCN
2 - 2
MUN
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
BRE
4 - 4
FCN
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |