MSV Duisburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1964 |
BVB
0 - 0
MSV
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1964 |
MSV
1 - 2
HER
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
MSV
5 - 1
EBT
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1964 |
MUN
0 - 0
MSV
67%
18%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1964 |
HER
5 - 2
MSV
27%
28%
46%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1964 |
KOL
5 - 0
FCN
56%
20%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
KOL
3 - 2
FCN
60%
18%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
FCN
0 - 0
STU
77%
13%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1964 |
FCN
4 - 0
BVB
66%
17%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1964 |
KAI
3 - 1
FCN
24%
22%
55%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |