Europa League 1/32
Global 10-3
MSV Duisburg vs Enosis Neon Paralimni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
11.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1975 |
MSV
1 - 1
HSV
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
KAI
3 - 0
MSV
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
MSV
4 - 3
HAN
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1975 |
MON
3 - 0
MSV
85%
10%
5%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
MSV
6 - 2
OFC
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |