MSV Duisburg vs Eintracht Trier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 3
MSV
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
MSV
3 - 1
UNT
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
RWA
2 - 0
MSV
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 0
SGF
38%
26%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 1
MSV
40%
24%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Eintracht Trier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
EIN
2 - 0
ERF
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EIN
0 - 4
AAA
31%
25%
45%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 2
EIN
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
EIN
2 - 0
UNT
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
MUN
0 - 0
EIN
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |