MSV Duisburg vs Darmstadt 98 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
WAT
3 - 1
MSV
62%
21%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1986 |
TEN
2 - 1
MSV
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
MSV
1 - 2
HES
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
KÖL
2 - 1
MSV
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
MSV
0 - 1
ARB
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
DAR
1 - 1
AAA
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1986 |
KSC
4 - 1
DAR
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
DAR
2 - 1
WAT
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
DAR
3 - 0
BAY
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1986 |
BWB
5 - 1
DAR
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |