MSV Duisburg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
WOL
0 - 1
MSV
14%
19%
67%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
KAI
5 - 3
MSV
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
MSV
1 - 1
STU
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
KOL
4 - 0
MSV
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MSV
1 - 4
KSC
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2005 |
EBT
2 - 1
BVB
19%
24%
57%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
BVB
1 - 2
S04
40%
26%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
WOL
2 - 2
BVB
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
SIG
0 - 0
BVB
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
BVB
1 - 1
SIG
61%
24%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |