MSV Duisburg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
KAI
3 - 0
MSV
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
F95
2 - 0
MSV
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1981 |
MSV
0 - 1
BRE
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
MSV
1 - 2
KSC
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
DAR
3 - 2
MSV
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
BVB
2 - 3
HSV
39%
23%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1982 |
EIN
1 - 4
BVB
66%
19%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
BVB
1 - 0
KOL
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
BVB
3 - 1
FCN
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
RTV
0 - 0
BVB
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |