MSV Duisburg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
HAN
2 - 0
MSV
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1965 |
MSV
2 - 2
HER
75%
15%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1965 |
STU
4 - 2
MSV
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1965 |
MSV
1 - 1
NEU
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
KOL
1 - 2
MSV
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
BVB
5 - 1
KSC
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1965 |
EIN
0 - 2
BVB
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1965 |
BVB
5 - 4
EBT
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1965 |
EBT
0 - 2
BVB
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1965 |
KAI
1 - 3
BVB
39%
24%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |