MSV Duisburg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
63.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
MSV
0 - 0
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
HSV
4 - 1
MSV
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
MSV
2 - 0
STU
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1998 |
GNK
5 - 0
MSV
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
SCF
2 - 2
MSV
45%
26%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
BYM
4 - 0
KAI
67%
19%
14%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
BYM
1 - 0
FCB
63%
20%
17%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
S04
1 - 3
BYM
17%
23%
60%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
BYM
2 - 2
BVB
67%
19%
14%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1998 |
BYM
2 - 2
MUD
65%
20%
15%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |