MSV Duisburg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1966 |
HSV
2 - 0
MSV
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
MSV
2 - 1
BVB
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
MON
1 - 2
MSV
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1966 |
MSV
1 - 0
KSC
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
MSV
8 - 2
KSC
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1966 |
BYM
0 - 1
STU
74%
16%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
KAI
1 - 2
BYM
28%
22%
50%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
BYM
3 - 1
HAN
74%
16%
11%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1966 |
HSV
1 - 2
BYM
57%
19%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
FCN
2 - 2
BYM
49%
21%
29%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |