MSV Duisburg vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1991 |
WAT
2 - 0
MSV
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
MSV
1 - 1
MON
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1991 |
STU
2 - 0
MSV
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
BVB
2 - 1
MSV
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1991 |
MSV
1 - 1
BYM
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1991 |
LEV
3 - 1
SVS
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
LEV
6 - 1
WAT
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1991 |
MON
2 - 2
LEV
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1991 |
STU
2 - 0
LEV
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1991 |
LEV
0 - 2
BVB
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |