MSV Duisburg vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ROS
3 - 1
MSV
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
MSV
2 - 2
BVB
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
MUN
4 - 1
MSV
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
MSV
1 - 2
SCF
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
ULM
0 - 3
MSV
43%
24%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
ARB
1 - 0
UNT
47%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
LEV
4 - 1
ARB
73%
16%
10%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
ARB
3 - 0
HSV
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BRE
3 - 1
ARB
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
EIN
2 - 1
ARB
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |