MSV Duisburg vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FCU
0 - 1
MSV
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
MSV
2 - 2
ROT
73%
18%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
ARB
1 - 2
MSV
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
MSV
1 - 1
KAI
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
F95
2 - 0
MSV
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MUN
2 - 1
STP
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
PAD
3 - 1
MUN
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MUN
3 - 2
AAA
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
KSC
2 - 0
MUN
51%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SGF
1 - 2
MUN
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |