MSV Duisburg vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1965 |
S04
1 - 2
MSV
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1965 |
MSV
2 - 2
BRE
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
FCN
1 - 1
MSV
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
MSV
3 - 2
BVB
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
HAN
2 - 0
MSV
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1965 |
MUN
4 - 1
HSV
49%
21%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
MUN
2 - 0
TOR
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1965 |
MUN
3 - 1
S04
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1965 |
MUN
3 - 1
TOR
74%
16%
11%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1965 |
TOR
2 - 0
MUN
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |