MSV Duisburg vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
MAG
0 - 0
MSV
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
EIN
1 - 1
MSV
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
MSV
2 - 2
SSV
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
UNT
1 - 0
MSV
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
MSV
2 - 1
LUB
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
WAL
0 - 4
FCU
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
FCU
3 - 0
SGF
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
ERZ
2 - 1
FCU
34%
28%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
FCU
0 - 1
COT
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
M05
2 - 1
FCU
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |