MSV Duisburg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FSV
1 - 1
MSV
46%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MSV
2 - 1
SVS
57%
22%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ING
0 - 1
MSV
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
MSV
2 - 1
COT
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
HER
4 - 2
MSV
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
KOL
1 - 0
VFR
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
KAI
3 - 0
KOL
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 1
SSV
74%
17%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
SGD
0 - 2
KOL
30%
27%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 0
PAD
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |