MSV Duisburg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
AAA
1 - 0
MSV
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MSV
2 - 4
EIN
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
MSV
2 - 0
KSC
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
WAC
1 - 1
MSV
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
SGF
1 - 0
MSV
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
LUB
1 - 1
KOL
20%
22%
58%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
KOL
2 - 1
RWA
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
EIN
1 - 1
KOL
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2003 |
KOL
3 - 3
AAA
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
BYM
8 - 0
KOL
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |