MSV Duisburg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
KSC
2 - 0
MSV
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
FCN
0 - 0
MSV
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
MSV
1 - 2
BVB
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
KAI
3 - 0
MSV
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
F95
2 - 0
MSV
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
KOL
1 - 1
HSV
38%
24%
39%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
EIN
4 - 2
KOL
55%
21%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
KOL
1 - 0
RTV
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1982 |
KOL
4 - 1
FCN
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
BVB
1 - 0
KOL
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |