MSV Duisburg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
EIN
6 - 0
MSV
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
MSV
1 - 1
KAI
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
RTV
3 - 0
MSV
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1979 |
HER
0 - 1
MSV
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
MSV
1 - 2
BYM
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
KOL
2 - 2
HER
74%
16%
11%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
BYM
1 - 2
KOL
53%
23%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
KOL
4 - 4
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
HSV
3 - 0
KOL
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
KOL
10 - 0
ALT
93%
6%
2%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |