MSV Duisburg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
FCN
4 - 1
MSV
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1968 |
MSV
7 - 0
KAI
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1968 |
BRE
3 - 3
MSV
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1968 |
MSV
3 - 3
STU
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
S04
0 - 3
MSV
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1968 |
KOL
2 - 1
EBT
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
KOL
5 - 1
EIN
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1968 |
EBT
1 - 1
KOL
44%
25%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1968 |
FCN
2 - 1
KOL
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1968 |
KOL
2 - 1
HSV
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |