MSV Duisburg U19 vs Rot-Weiss Essen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
8º
5º
9
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
6 - 0
DUI
70%
18%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
DUI
3 - 1
MON
40%
25%
36%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RWO
1 - 3
DUI
28%
23%
48%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DUI
1 - 1
BOC
25%
24%
50%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
DUI
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ESS
1 - 3
PRE
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIK
3 - 0
ESS
39%
25%
37%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ESS
2 - 2
BON
45%
23%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BOR
4 - 0
ESS
92%
6%
2%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
5 - 0
ESS
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |