MSV Duisburg U19 vs Fortuna Köln U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 2
DUI
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DUI
1 - 1
ESS
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
DUI
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DUI
2 - 1
BOC
33%
23%
43%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LEV
6 - 1
DUI
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
RWO
20%
22%
58%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
5 - 0
PRE
13%
21%
66%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ARM
4 - 3
FOR
89%
8%
3%
|
6 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
ESS
11%
19%
71%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 0
FOR
87%
10%
4%
|
6 | 42 | 36 | 0 |