MSV Duisburg U17 vs Arminia Bielefeld U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
62.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
11º
10º
35
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SFK
1 - 4
MSV
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MSV
0 - 3
FOD
11%
20%
69%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MSV
0 - 3
BDO
3%
9%
88%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MSV
2 - 1
COL
5%
13%
82%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | +3 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
VFB
3 - 1
MSV
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ABI
3 - 3
VFB
30%
24%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ABI
7 - 1
BLE
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FCH
0 - 2
ABI
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ABI
1 - 1
RWE
54%
22%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 3
ABI
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |