MSV Duisburg II vs Westfalia Herne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 1
MSV
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 1
ABI
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 2
MSV
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 1
VEL
42%
23%
34%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIK
1 - 0
MSV
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Westfalia Herne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
WHE
1 - 0
VIK
13%
21%
66%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
WER
0 - 0
WHE
51%
22%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
WHE
0 - 3
SWE
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AAA
1 - 0
WHE
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SPO
4 - 0
WHE
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |