MSV Duisburg II vs Viktoria Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2002 |
ADL
1 - 0
MSV
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
HAM
1 - 1
MSV
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
MSV
3 - 2
WUP
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
BFR
1 - 1
MSV
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
FOR
1 - 4
MSV
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
VIK
3 - 1
WEG
78%
15%
8%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
RHE
1 - 0
VIK
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 1
VIK
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
VIK
5 - 0
SWE
46%
26%
29%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +3 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
BOR
7 - 0
VIK
67%
20%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |