MSV Duisburg II vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
HNI
2 - 1
MSV
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MSV
1 - 2
KFI
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
NIE
3 - 6
MSV
12%
18%
69%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
DUS
0 - 3
MSV
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MSV
5 - 0
SFB
60%
20%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VFB
1 - 3
DUS
42%
24%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SFB
1 - 0
VFB
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VFB
1 - 3
JDH
37%
24%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -3 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
KAP
5 - 0
VFB
47%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
VFB
1 - 2
VEL
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |