MSV Duisburg II vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
AAA
3 - 0
MSV
56%
23%
22%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
USO
2 - 1
MSV
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2006 |
DUR
2 - 2
MSV
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
MSV
1 - 5
SWE
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
MSV
0 - 2
BSC
55%
22%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
VFB
0 - 1
WUP
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
VFB
1 - 3
ROT
14%
20%
66%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 0
VFB
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
VFB
3 - 1
DUS
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
AAA
3 - 0
VFB
53%
23%
25%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |