MSV Duisburg II vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BSC
2 - 0
MSV
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
KLE
4 - 3
MSV
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
MSV
0 - 2
AAA
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 1
MSV
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
MSV
2 - 1
USO
45%
25%
31%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
VFB
2 - 2
AAA
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
USO
4 - 1
VFB
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -3 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
VFB
2 - 1
SPE
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
VFB
4 - 0
VEL
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +4 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
VFB
3 - 3
FCJ
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |