MSV Duisburg II vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
MSV
1 - 0
KLE
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 4
MSV
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MSV
0 - 1
GEW
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
DIE
3 - 1
MSV
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MSV
5 - 0
STR
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
VEL
0 - 1
STR
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
VEL
2 - 1
KLE
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
KFC
1 - 1
VEL
38%
26%
37%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
DIE
4 - 0
VEL
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
VFB
3 - 3
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |