MSV Duisburg II vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
WUP
1 - 1
MSV
49%
23%
29%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
MSV
1 - 1
FCJ
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
KFC
5 - 0
MSV
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
MSV
2 - 1
DUS
55%
22%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SWE
7 - 2
MSV
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 0
AAA
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
USO
3 - 1
VEL
26%
26%
49%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
VEL
3 - 1
SPE
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
KLE
2 - 2
VEL
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
WUP
1 - 1
VEL
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |