MSV Duisburg II vs Turu 1880 Dusseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SWE
7 - 2
MSV
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
MSV
4 - 3
WEG
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 2
MSV
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
MSV
2 - 2
FCB
41%
26%
33%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
MSV
1 - 3
BOR
23%
26%
52%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Turu 1880 Dusseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
DUS
1 - 3
AAA
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
USO
1 - 1
DUS
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
DUS
1 - 1
SPE
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 1
DUS
74%
16%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
DUS
2 - 1
WUP
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |