MSV Duisburg II vs Siegen Sportfreunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 2
MSV
12%
18%
70%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 2
SPE
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
VFB
0 - 1
MSV
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
MSV
5 - 0
SCH
53%
23%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
HUL
1 - 2
MSV
28%
24%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 2
SCH
66%
20%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
VIK
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
WER
0 - 5
SPO
32%
24%
45%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
4 - 0
SWE
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
RWA
2 - 2
SPO
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +1 |