MSV Duisburg II vs Siegen Sportfreunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ABI
4 - 0
MSV
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 0
HUL
60%
20%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SWE
1 - 0
MSV
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MSV
7 - 1
BER
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 1
MSV
36%
23%
42%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 4
BER
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 0
SPO
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
SPO
4 - 0
WIE
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 1
SPO
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 2
SPE
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |