MSV Duisburg II vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
MSV
2 - 1
FCB
36%
27%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
BSC
3 - 4
MSV
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
MSV
2 - 1
RHE
43%
25%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
VIK
3 - 2
MSV
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
MSV
1 - 4
ADL
49%
25%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 0
DIE
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
DIE
1 - 0
BOR
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
AAA
4 - 2
DIE
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
DIE
0 - 0
FCB
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
DIE
4 - 1
WUP
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |