MSV Duisburg II vs Hammer SpVg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 2
MSV
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MSV
0 - 0
ABI
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
HUL
1 - 1
MSV
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
MSV
2 - 1
AAA
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 4
MSV
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hammer SpVg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
HAM
1 - 3
HUL
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
AAA
2 - 2
HAM
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
HAM
0 - 2
FOR
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
HAM
0 - 4
ABI
25%
24%
52%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
KÖL
0 - 0
HAM
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 57 | 34 | +1 |