MSV Duisburg II vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MSV
1 - 2
DSC
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 2
MSV
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MSV
2 - 0
SCH
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
WAT
2 - 3
MSV
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MSV
1 - 3
HAM
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
AAA
3 - 1
GUT
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
GUT
2 - 3
FOR
37%
26%
38%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
KÖL
4 - 0
GUT
76%
17%
8%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
GUT
0 - 1
GEW
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
WHE
4 - 0
GUT
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |