MSV Duisburg II vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FCB
0 - 1
MSV
75%
16%
10%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
BOR
4 - 0
MSV
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
MSV
2 - 4
VFB
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BSC
2 - 0
MSV
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
KLE
4 - 3
MSV
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
DUR
1 - 0
AAA
41%
24%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
USO
2 - 2
DUR
73%
17%
11%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
DUR
0 - 0
WUP
50%
24%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
VEL
3 - 3
DUR
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FCJ
1 - 1
DUR
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |