MSV Duisburg II vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
KLE
2 - 2
MSV
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
MSV
0 - 3
ADL
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -3 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
GRA
2 - 3
MSV
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
MSV
1 - 3
BSC
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
RHE
0 - 4
MSV
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
DUR
2 - 2
FCB
27%
25%
48%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
BFR
2 - 1
DUR
69%
18%
14%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
DUR
1 - 3
OFC
8%
16%
76%
|
26 | 69 | 43 | -3 |
| 02 Aug. 1954 |
DUR
2 - 5
KAI
16%
17%
68%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | 0 |