MSV Duisburg II vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 0
SPO
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GEW
1 - 0
MSV
61%
21%
17%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 1
ROT
18%
23%
60%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
WHE
0 - 1
MSV
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 1
BER
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AAA
3 - 0
KÖL
45%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SWE
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BER
0 - 2
KÖL
27%
24%
50%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
KÖL
3 - 0
WER
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
WEG
0 - 3
KÖL
20%
22%
59%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |