MSV Duisburg II vs Junkersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
KFC
5 - 0
MSV
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
MSV
2 - 1
DUS
55%
22%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SWE
7 - 2
MSV
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
MSV
4 - 3
WEG
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 2
MSV
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Junkersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
FCJ
1 - 1
AAA
29%
24%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
USO
3 - 1
FCJ
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
FCJ
1 - 1
SPE
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
VEL
6 - 1
FCJ
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
FCJ
0 - 3
WUP
56%
23%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |