MSV Duisburg II vs Bonner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
FCJ
1 - 1
MSV
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FCB
5 - 2
MSV
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MSV
3 - 1
BFR
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
WUP
3 - 0
MSV
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 1
AAA
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
BSC
0 - 0
FCB
40%
27%
33%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BFR
1 - 3
BSC
51%
23%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
AAA
2 - 1
BSC
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BSC
1 - 1
WUP
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DUR
1 - 2
BSC
44%
25%
32%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |