MSV Duisburg II vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
MSV
2 - 0
WUP
56%
21%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
KLE
0 - 1
MSV
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
VEL
1 - 4
MSV
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
MSV
4 - 1
VFB
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
AAA
3 - 0
MSV
56%
23%
22%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
DUR
3 - 3
BER
29%
26%
45%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BER
1 - 0
KFC
38%
26%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
STR
1 - 1
BER
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
BER
0 - 1
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
DIE
0 - 0
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |