MSV Duisburg II vs B. Leverkusen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 1
AAA
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2007 |
WUP
2 - 3
MSV
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
BSC
1 - 3
MSV
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
MSV
2 - 0
DUR
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
KFC
3 - 1
MSV
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
VEL
0 - 3
BAY
21%
23%
57%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
BAY
4 - 1
FOR
82%
13%
6%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
BAY
0 - 1
PAD
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
BOR
2 - 0
BAY
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
BAY
0 - 3
WUP
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |