MSV Duisburg II vs Arminia Bielefeld II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 2
MSV
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 1
VEL
42%
23%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIK
1 - 0
MSV
76%
16%
9%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 0
WER
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 0
MSV
43%
26%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ABI
0 - 4
VIK
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ABI
2 - 2
ERN
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
WER
0 - 3
ABI
31%
23%
45%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ABI
2 - 1
SWE
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 2
ABI
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |