Korona Kielce II vs Unia Tarnów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
15º
15º
40
11º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
89% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korona Kielce II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KSW
2 - 2
MSK
20%
20%
61%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MSK
0 - 0
CRA
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUB
1 - 2
MSK
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MSK
5 - 3
STA
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ORP
0 - 1
MSK
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Unia Tarnów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UTA
0 - 0
WIS
25%
23%
53%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WIE
7 - 0
UTA
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UTA
0 - 6
CHE
27%
24%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
WIS
3 - 4
UTA
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KSW
1 - 2
UTA
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |