Msida St Joseph vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Msida St Joseph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MSI
1 - 1
MQA
38%
25%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BIR
0 - 1
MSI
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
MSI
0 - 5
LIJ
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MSI
0 - 3
VIT
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PAT
4 - 0
MSI
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ZAB
2 - 0
XGH
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 4
ZAB
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ZAB
2 - 2
GHA
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
ZAB
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ZAB
3 - 0
DIN
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |